Ice cube meme misrepresents physics of sea level rise to claim melting ice has no effect

CLAIM

[Photo] A little science lesson for the #idiots at the global warming conference. Ice berg melts, ocean level remains the same.

VERDICT more about the rating framework

SOURCE: Anonymous, Facebook, 11 Dec. 2019  

DETAILS

Flawed Reasoning: Floating ice that melts does not appreciably raise the water level, but melting land ice—or placing ice cubes in a glass—does.

KEY TAKE AWAY

Global sea level rise is caused primarily by two processes: (1) the expansion of seawater as its temperature increases and (2) the melting of glacial ice on land. It is well known that the melting of floating ice does not play a role.

REVIEW

CLAIM: A little science lesson for the #idiots at the global warming conference. Ice berg melts, ocean level remains the same.

This meme, which has spread widely on Facebook, implies that the science of human-caused global sea level rise is based on the faulty assumption that floating ice raises sea level as it melts. However, a critical step is missing in this set of “before-and-after” photos: the water level before the ice cubes were placed in the measuring cup.

The ice on planet Earth—part of what is termed the “cryosphere“—includes sea ice as well as glacial land ice. Sea ice is frozen seawater floating at the surface, not unlike the ice that covers a lake or river in colder winter climates. As such, the freezing and melting of sea ice does not have a significant effect on sea level, though the loss of polar sea ice does have profound impacts on local ecosystems and the Earth’s climate system.

But on land, glaciers high in mountains around the world or making up part of the great ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica, do raise sea level when they melt and flow into the ocean. Some glaciers end on land, with meltwater flowing down rivers to reach the ocean. Other glaciers slide into the ocean directly, calving off large blocks called “icebergs” that drift away as they melt.

Source: Ice Sheet Mass Balance Inter-comparison Exercise (IMBIE) Project

The melting of an iceberg does not raise sea level significantly, because it is already displacing that volume as it floats. (There is, however, a small additional contribution from the dilution of salty seawater with fresh melt from the iceberg. This adds 2-3% to the volume of displaced seawater.¹) But as the land-based portions of glaciers shrink, more and more icebergs and meltwater are added to the ocean, raising sea level. Greenland, for example, lost around 3,800 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, while Antarctica lost about 2,700 billion tonnes between 1992 and 2017, together raising global sea level by about 18 millimeters over that timespan^2,3.

There is also one more process that is a primary contributor to sea level rise: thermal expansion. Like other fluids, seawater expands as its temperature increases. This means that as the oceans warm, their volume expands enough to raise sea level measurably.

• 1- Jenkins and Holland (2007) Melting of floating ice and sea level rise, Geophysical Research Letters
• 2- Shepherd et al (2018) Mass balance of the Antarctic Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2017, Nature
• 3- Shepherd et al (2019) Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018, Nature

UPDATES

• 18 Dec. 2019: Two sentences were added to clarify the effect of salinity after Prof. Andrew Shepherd reviewed this post for accuracy.