Daniel Swain

Researcher, UCLA, and Research Fellow, National Center for Atmospheric Research

Expertise: Climate change, Extreme weather, Drought, Floods, Atmospheric rivers

Details:

   Website

 hypothesis  Orcid ID

hypothesis   Hypothesis handle: dlswain

Qualifying publication(s): see criteria

publication   http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/2/4/e150134

publication   http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-

publication   http://search.proquest.com/openview/437b06df38d374

ARTICLES REVIEWED

Claim that human civilization could end in 30 years is speculative, not supported with evidence

in IFLScience, by James Felton

— 09 Jun 2019

"The report this article is based on describes a scenario which is unlikely, but several aspects of what is included in the report are likely to worsen in coming decades, such as t..

Washington Post story puts recent weather extremes in accurate climate change context

in The Washington Post, by Joel Achenbach, Angela Fritz

— 31 Jul 2018

"This article accurately describes the broader climate context of recent heat extremes throughout the Northern Hemisphere. There are a couple spots where specific claims are somewh..

Daily Mail correctly reports that climate change leads to more severe heatwaves, but explanation of recent weather is off the mark

in Daily Mail, by Joe Pinkstone

— 07 Jul 2018

"Mostly this article is accurate in its reporting of the recent heat over North America and Eurasia. However, there are a few misleading statements, including the headline, that ex..

Breitbart article on California fires misleads by omitting explanation of climate’s influence

in Breitbart, by Joel Pollak

— 19 Dec 2017

"The Breitbart article provides a poorly reasoned and misleading view of how climate change has contributed to recent fires in California and the rest of the western USA. The most ..

New York Times’ “straightforward answers” to common climate questions are accurate, too

in The New York Times, by Justin Gillis

— 28 Sep 2017

This article in The New York Times serves as a primer by briefly answering seventeen basic questions about the cause and consequences of—and possible solutions to—climate chang...

Scientists explain what New York Magazine article on “The Uninhabitable Earth” gets wrong

in New York Magazine, by David Wallace-Wells

— 12 Jul 2017

"While it is clear that ongoing warming of the global climate would eventually have very severe consequences, the concept of the Earth becoming uninhabitable within anywhere near t..

The Daily Wire makes wild claims about climate change based on no evidence

in The Daily Wire, by Joseph Curl

— 09 May 2017

"The article contains little to no rational treatment of observational data, but relies on heavily biased secondhand interpretation... Even the title is based on a lie. There is no..

The Telegraph publishes false information about Arctic climate

in The Telegraph, by Christopher Booker

— 09 May 2017

"This article suffers from a common error in reasoning. The author focuses on individual “snapshots” of the state of the climate while ignoring the long-term trends. Those tren..

Analysis of “From extreme drought to record rain: Why California’s drought-to-deluge cycle is getting worse”

in Los Angeles Times, by Paige St. John and Rong-Gong Lin II

— 14 Apr 2017

"The article is accurate and highlights the challenges that California’s water resource managers are facing due to climate change. There are some issues with differentiating natu..

Analysis of “One of the most troubling ideas about climate change just found new evidence in its favor”

in The Washington Post, by Chris Mooney

— 29 Mar 2017

"Overall, this piece accurately describes the findings of a new research paper by Mann et al on linkages between rapid Arctic warming and extreme weather at Earth's more temperate ..

CLAIMS REVIEWED

In popular video, Dan Peña falsely claims humans aren’t causing climate change

CLAIM
"Fifty-five thousand years ago the whole world was 2°C warmer than it is today[...] It's all cyclical; [human-caused greenhouse gas emissions are] not a fart in the wind. Sea level rise is not going to happen."

SOURCE: Dan Peña, "Ivanka_Trump" Facebook account

Published: 07 May 2019

VERDICT

President Trump’s claim that water supply policy has worsened California wildfires is baseless

CLAIM
"California wildfires are being magnified & made so much worse by the bad environmental laws which aren’t allowing massive amounts of readily available water to be properly utilized. It is being diverted into the Pacific Ocean."

SOURCE: President Donald Trump, Twitter

Published: 07 Aug 2018

VERDICT

Some extreme weather events are clearly becoming more common, in contrast to Lord Lawson’s claim

CLAIM
"The IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is sort of the voice of the consensus, concedes that there has been no increase in extreme weather events."

SOURCE: Nigel Lawson, BBC

Published: 10 Aug 2017

VERDICT

Global warming has not “ceased”, as Heartland Institute report falsely claims

CLAIM
"global warming ceased around the end of the twentieth century and was followed (since 1997) by 19 years of stable temperature"

SOURCE: Craig Idso, Robert Carter, S. Fred Singer, Heartland Institute

Published: 29 May 2017

VERDICT

Global sea level rise is accelerating, despite Heartland Institute report’s claims otherwise

CLAIM
"Best available data show sea-level rise is not accelerating. Local and regional sea levels continue to exhibit typical natural variability—in some places rising and in others falling."

SOURCE: Craig Idso, Robert Carter, S. Fred Singer, Heartland Institute

Published: 08 May 2017

VERDICT

Claim that Arctic warming is already influencing mid-latitude weather correct but still under investigation

CLAIM
"The jet stream meanders more, with big loops bringing warm air to the frozen north and cold air into warmer southern climes."

SOURCE: Damian Carrington, The Guardian

Published: 21 Dec 2016

VERDICT